We’ve Come So Far

6/2022

By Brian O’Neill, CFP®

I’ve just returned from a weeklong trip to Ireland with my family. It was rejuvenating in many ways – spending time with my daughter before she goes off to college this fall, talking European soccer with my boys, sharing quiet, peaceful time with my wife that isn’t always possible at home. The only negative was that I missed my dog!

Spending time in Europe always makes me pause and consider the incredible tumult the world has been through, even in the not too distant past. I toured a prison in Dublin where ordinary folks demanding Irish independence from England were detained, and later executed, all for wanting freedom. Ireland only became an independent country in 1922!

As I watched another down week for the markets while on vacation, I also reflected on the rough markets I’ve experienced during my career. The 2000/2001 dot.com bubble was very early on for me, but certainly introduced me to the idea that I wasn’t as smart as I thought. The late 1990s made everyone feel like the best investors in the world, and introduced me to the concept of behavioral biases. If you lived through that period, you’ll also remember a wave of people who quit jobs to become “day-traders” in the market. Just writing that sentence speaks to the hubris that was everywhere in early 2000. Then the S&P 500 declined 49% through October 2002 and the NASDAQ fell over 77%! People weren’t feeling quite as smart when that correction ended.

The Great Financial Crisis of 2008/2009 didn’t quite have the explosive growth in stocks, but real estate took center stage, and people were flipping houses as if they could never lose value. We all know the end of that story.

Obviously, the pandemic created different issues. But the end results seemed eerily similar. Investment capital was flowing freely, tech stocks were selling at valuations that reminded me of 2000, Cryptocurrencies created overnight millionaires, and the fear of missing out reared its ugly head again. Investors began to make decisions as if they were smarter than the market. The past few months have wiped out much of that euphoria.

Stock market declines are painful. For many, this one is more painful given a war torn Ukraine, domestic divide and a quick snap in inflation. However, the long gas lines and 16% mortgage rates of the late 70s/ early 80s eventually came to an end, and patient investors with a long term plan were rewarded. Historical turmoil tends to quickly fade from our memory making each bear market seem brand new and permanent. But one central tenet of corrections is that they end. This one will end too. We don’t know exactly when, but the end will come. Having a firm understanding of your long term goals and cash needs during these periods gives a person a significant advantage.  It allows the investor to think strategically rather than defensively.  For me, it’s another reminder to reflect on how far we’ve come, and to feel confident that a new dawn is just over the horizon.

Brian O’Neill, CFP®, is president and a financial advisor in the Atlanta office of Cahaba Wealth Management, www.cahabawealth.com.

Cahaba Wealth Management is registered as an investment adviser with the SEC and only transacts business in states where it is properly registered, or is excluded or exempted from registration requirements. Registration as an investment adviser does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the SEC nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Cahaba Wealth Management is not engaged in the practice of law or accounting. Always consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your specific legal or tax situation. Content should not be construed as personalized investment advice. The opinions in this materials are for general information, and not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for an individual. Content should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor.

Cahaba Welcomes Walton Cobb


Walton Cobb, CFP ®
Financial Advisor

Cahaba Wealth Management is delighted to announce that Walton Cobb, CFP ® has joined our team as a Financial Advisor in the Birmingham office. Walton’s passion is to assist families in reaching their financial goals through the highest level of service and personal care.


Walton began her career in 2007 as a client service associate at Rochdale Investment Management, a boutique mutual fund company, located in New York, NY. She moved back to her home state in pursuit of a career in family financial planning, where she joined Creative Financial Group as a Financial Planning Analyst in 2010. There, she progressed into a relationship manager providing financial guidance through tax planning, investment management, cash flow management, retirement planning, and insurance needs analysis. Walton is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ practitioner, and holds a Bachelor’s degree in Accounting and a Master’s degree in Financial Planning (both from the University of Alabama).


Walton and her husband Maury have two children, Maggie and Wil. They are members of Saint Luke’s Episcopal Church in Birmingham. Walton is a sustainer of the Birmingham Ballet Guild and is on Children’s Hospital of Alabama’s Committee for the Future. In her spare time, she enjoys traveling with family and attending Alabama football games.


Benefits of Diversification in a Tough Market

4/2022

By Brian O’Neill, CFP®

2022 has been a difficult year to be an investor. Through Tuesday, April 26th, the S&P 500 and S&P 600 (small caps) are down more than 12%, foreign stocks are down more than 13%, and bonds are down almost 9%. There has been no place to hide…

Percentage of market change in 2022

Even with this negativity, we continue to preach our consistent message of understanding your financial plan, knowing we have maintained flexibility with an intimate knowledge of client cash flow needs. That said, there are also reasons to focus on our investment approach, and remind clients why diversification still matters, even when it feels like everything is falling.

The S&P 500 is constructed of roughly the 500 largest US companies, weighted by market capitalization. We say roughly because this index does change over time, and companies can be added or deleted from the index at any given time, so 500 is a round target. Additionally, the S&P Index Committee has specific criteria that must be met for inclusion in any index, and thus not every company stock may qualify.

With the stocks that do qualify, 2022 performance has been anything but uniform. The best performing stock in the index so far this year has been Occidental Petroleum, up more than a whopping 90% year to date! However, the worst performing stock has been Netflix – once the darling of Wall Street, but currently down more than 67% as of this writing. In fact, many of the true high flying stocks of the post-pandemic era, and technology winners of the past decade, are performing well below the S&P 500.

Year-to-date returns of FAANG stocks.

This chart shows the year-to-date returns of the FAANG stocks (Facebook (now Meta), Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google (now Alphabet)), and the ARK Innovation ETF (symbol ARKK), which has been a headline grabbing investment star over the past 36 months. All but Apple have underperformed the S&P, and most by large margins.

The point of this is a quick reminder of why we diversify. Going after the hot names can feel great when it works, but you can see the damage it can cause when it does not. Very few analysts were predicting the fall of technology stocks. In most cases, they argued strongly that there was no reason to own anything but those stocks!

Investing is hard, and much of that comes from our own emotions and biases. We constantly allow the tendency to place too much emphasis on experiences that are freshest in our memory (Recency Bias) to dictate our investing decisions. Fear of Missing Out is a powerful concept, but it’s times like these that we can know that sometimes, missing out is ok.

Brian O’Neill, CFP®, is president and a financial advisor in the Atlanta office of Cahaba Wealth Management, www.cahabawealth.com.

Cahaba Wealth Management is registered as an investment adviser with the SEC and only transacts business in states where it is properly registered, or is excluded or exempted from registration requirements. Registration as an investment adviser does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the SEC nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Cahaba Wealth Management is not engaged in the practice of law or accounting. Always consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your specific legal or tax situation. Content should not be construed as personalized investment advice. The opinions in this materials are for general information, and not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for an individual. Content should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor.